As the U.S.-China trade war erodes confidence and central banks prepare to unleash another wave of stimulus, investors are checking which advance warning indicators might be forecasting a global economic recession. A decade after the 2008 financial crisis, one of the most accurate predictors of U.S recessions – inversion of the government bond yield curve – has kicked in. But forecasting global recessions is trickier. In an in-depth analysis, Reuters presents 10 charts showing some of the frequently used recession indicators.
Reuters analysis – Dashboard of a downturn: global recession signals
21 June 2019, 12:00 am 1 minute
Type: Reuters Best
Sectors: Economy & Policy
Regions: Europe / Middle East / Africa